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Thu Aug 9, 2018, 01:51 PM

DEMOCRAT LEAD DOWN TO 2 POINTS IN LATEST GENERIC BALLOT FOR 2018

TRUMP REMAINS STEADY, DEM LEAD DROPS SHARPLY
Washington, D.C. – Nearly half of registered voters (45%) and two in five Americans (43%) approve of President Trump’s handling of his job as president. President Trump’s approval rating has remained stable for much of year, with most of his support coming from Americans who identify as Republicans. This week is no different, with 86% of Republicans reporting they approve of the job Trump is doing as president. Independents (34%) and Democrats (11%) are significantly less likely to approve of Trump’s job performance.

Looking ahead to the November midterm election for Congress, Democrats have a narrow lead (41%) over Republicans (39%) among registered voters. Republicans and Democrats remain loyal to their respective parties, and Independents favor a candidate from another party (28%) to Democrats (20%) or Republicans (17%).
https://www.ipsos.com/en-us/news-polls/reuters-ipsos-data-core-political-2018-08-08

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Reply DEMOCRAT LEAD DOWN TO 2 POINTS IN LATEST GENERIC BALLOT FOR 2018 (Original post)
rh24 Thursday OP
bfox74 Thursday #1
rh24 Thursday #2
bfox74 Thursday #3
Bob the Bilderberger Thursday #4
rh24 Thursday #5

Response to rh24 (Original post)

Thu Aug 9, 2018, 01:57 PM

1. An indication of a red wave.

Most pundits from both sides would tell you that the dems need at least a 8-10 point lead in the generic ballot in order to take back congress. A 2 point lead probably means they lose seats since this poll does not account for large population centers full of leftys. They’ll win big in deep blue states where almost all of their representation is already democrat.

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Response to bfox74 (Reply #1)

Thu Aug 9, 2018, 01:59 PM

2. Most pollsters say Democrats need a 10 point margin on the generic ballot to retake the House.

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Response to rh24 (Reply #2)

Thu Aug 9, 2018, 02:11 PM

3. Yep. This is looking to be a repeat of 2002 when the GOP gained seats.

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Response to rh24 (Original post)

Thu Aug 9, 2018, 02:44 PM

4. Tuesday's turnout was telling

86% of the democrat vote turned out while only 40% of the republicans did, yet the result was a dead heat.

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Response to Bob the Bilderberger (Reply #4)

Thu Aug 9, 2018, 05:17 PM

5. That stat jumped out at me as well.

There is just no where to grow the vote in that district. That holds true for many of these special elections,

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