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Sat May 4, 2019, 11:37 PM

Immigration Collapse Undermines Kremlin Hopes to Recover Russias Dominance in Former Soviet Space

Immigration Collapse Undermines Kremlin Hopes to Recover Russia’s Dominance in Former Soviet Space


“One cannot build a new empire on fear alone.”



The Kremlin is losing the most important “weapon” in its campaign to restore a semblance of Moscow’s former empire in the post-Soviet space. According to Russian commentator Semyon Novoprudky, that weapon is the economic dependence of many post-Soviet countries on the Russian labor market . Novoprudsky cites new research by the Moscow-based Gaidar Institute that labor migration from these countries to Russia has declined over the last five years, as other countries, including China, Kazakhstan and the member states of the European Union, increasingly become more important destinations. The report also points out that Russia has little hope of recovering these flows, even if the sanctions regime ends and the Russian economy begins to expand . As a result, Russia is becoming less central to the economic existence of its neighbors, less politically influential in them, and less likely to be the center around which they might again coalesce.

As the Gaidar study shows, 2014, the year of Russia’s occupation of Crimea and launch of its war in Donbas, was the decisive turning point. The West’s sanctions regime helped trigger a decline in the Russian economy, resulting in fewer jobs for immigrants, and a decline in the ruble exchange rate. As a result, wages that could be earned in Russia became less valuable to immigrants. Over the last five years, the number of new immigrant workers arriving in the country has remained steady at about 565,000–600,000. But the number departing has increased with every passing year—from 308,000 in 2014 to 441,000 in 2018. As a result, the net increase in the number of immigrant workers last year “turned out to be the lowest since 1991” .''


SOURCES
https://jamestown.org/program/immigration-collapse-undermines-kremlin-hopes-to-recover-russias-dominance-in-former-soviet-space/

https://spektr.press/proschaj-nemytaya-em-pochemu-rekordnyj-spad-trudovoj-migracii-v-rossiyu-podryvaet-ee-vozmozhnosti-imperskogo-revansha-em/

https://www.ranepa.ru/images/News/2019-04/2019_6-89_April.pdf

https://spektr.press/proschaj-nemytaya-em-pochemu-rekordnyj-spad-trudovoj-migracii-v-rossiyu-podryvaet-ee-vozmozhnosti-imperskogo-revansha-em/

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Reply Immigration Collapse Undermines Kremlin Hopes to Recover Russias Dominance in Former Soviet Space (Original post)
Banshee 3 Actual May 2019 OP
wonderwarthog May 2019 #1
Charlie Mike May 2019 #2

Response to Banshee 3 Actual (Original post)

Sat May 4, 2019, 11:46 PM

1. Enlightening






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Response to Banshee 3 Actual (Original post)

Sat May 4, 2019, 11:51 PM

2. We should send them ours.

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