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Fri Feb 14, 2020, 02:25 PM

Health-care workers are the front-line warriors against coronavirus. We must protect them.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2020/02/13/health-care-workers-are-front-line-warriors-against-coronavirus-we-must-protect-them/

Hospitals themselves are amplification points for the virus’s spread, as evidenced by the more than 1,700 confirmed cases of health-care workers stricken with the disease, including six deaths, the Chinese government reported on Friday. The most effective way we can respect the efforts of those who fell ill and the memory of those who have died is to protect their fellow health-care workers around the world and develop responses. China is a significant provider of personal protection equipment for the world, and the Chinese are running out themselves, which will leave the rest of the countries scrambling. A scary scenario indeed.

While public-health officials have not declared this outbreak a pandemic, we believe it is in the early stages of becoming just that: a worldwide epidemic. It has reached 24 other countries so far and is spreading like the influenza virus does each winter. Trying to stop influenza transmission is like trying to stop the wind. Nothing in our experience gives us hope we can halt an emerging worldwide epidemic spreading person-to-person like this coronavirus. It appears that on average, a case transmits to two people. After 10 doubling generations, which takes just 60 days total, that original infected individual has started a chain of more than 3,500 cases. Effective vaccines are many months, if not years, away.

On Jan. 20, the Chinese National Health Commission revealed a covid-19 outbreak among 13 nurses and one physician, all related to the care of a single infected patient. An investigation published in the Journal of the American Medical Association shows that 40 of the first 138 patients diagnosed at Wuhan University Hospital were health-care workers, their infections related to caring for infected patients. Additionally, 17 patients treated for other conditions contracted the infection simply by breathing contaminated hospital air. Numerous Chinese physicians have spoken publicly over the past week on the major shortage of equipment necessary to protect workers and patients.

As we experience one of the worst influenza seasons in years, the increased need for protective equipment has virtually exhausted supplies on hand at health-care facilities, which often don’t have the financial resources to store large inventories. Orders over the past several weeks of N95 respirators — the tight-fitting face masks necessary for protection against the virus — would take many years of manufacturing capacity to fulfill. World Health Organization officials report global demand for this kind equipment up to 100 times higher than normal and prices up to 20 times higher than just weeks ago.

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Reply Health-care workers are the front-line warriors against coronavirus. We must protect them. (Original post)
bernt-toast Friday OP
rampartb Friday #1
bernt-toast Friday #2
Steelydamned Friday #4
rampartb Friday #5
uncledad Friday #3
rampartb Friday #6
uncledad Friday #7
Grumpy Pickle Friday #8
uncledad Saturday #9
Grumpy Pickle Saturday #10

Response to bernt-toast (Original post)

Fri Feb 14, 2020, 02:33 PM

1. this will ne over in april, with the heat, won't it?

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Response to rampartb (Reply #1)

Fri Feb 14, 2020, 02:40 PM

2. no way to know, but I tend to doubt it

There is no way to know whether this will be seasonal like the flu or not. Colds are coronaviruses, and although worse in winter, they still occur in summer.

Some of what I'm seeing is getting pretty real looking. Some experts (epidemiologists) saying if it's not contained, could infect up to 60% of global population. Most epidemiologists are saying it doesn't look like it can be contained. US actions so far are intended to slow it's spread here. This article says 17 patients in China contracted it just from breathing hospital air.

Meantime, China produces most PPEs (personal protective equipment, eg masks, gloves, gowns) and is running out. US is experiencing a bad flu season, with a 2nd round of outbreaks just starting, so is also running out of PPE stocks.

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Response to bernt-toast (Reply #2)

Fri Feb 14, 2020, 03:05 PM

4. Can confirm on the PPE thing.

Just ordered a bunch for a vessel we have in Singapore but, the N95 masks are out of stock and on back order til like mid March. Almost all suppliers are out of most kinds of medical PPE.

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Response to bernt-toast (Reply #2)

Fri Feb 14, 2020, 03:17 PM

5. don't doubt it unless you want to join mccabe and the vindman twins

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Response to rampartb (Reply #1)

Fri Feb 14, 2020, 02:59 PM

3. SARS went from 2002 to 2004 on a world tour.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Timeline_of_the_SARS_outbreak

Severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) is a viral respiratory disease of zoonotic origin caused by the SARS coronavirus (SARS-CoV). Between November 2002 and July 2003, an outbreak of SARS in southern China caused an eventual 8,098 cases, resulting in 774 deaths reported in 17 countries (9.6% fatality rate), with the majority of cases in mainland China and Hong Kong.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Severe_acute_respiratory_syndrome

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Response to uncledad (Reply #3)

Fri Feb 14, 2020, 03:19 PM

6. "i'm smarter than the generals" seems to include the surgeon generals ......

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Response to rampartb (Reply #6)

Fri Feb 14, 2020, 03:32 PM

7. Chicken soup...

Lots of chicken soup...

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Response to uncledad (Reply #7)

Fri Feb 14, 2020, 11:03 PM

8. Yep.

And garlic.

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Response to Grumpy Pickle (Reply #8)

Sat Feb 15, 2020, 12:09 AM

9. And some lemon and it's Greek chicken soup..

Yummy!!

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Response to uncledad (Reply #9)

Sat Feb 15, 2020, 01:12 AM

10. It certainly is !

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