Moneymoney

Mon Jul 22, 2019, 05:14 AM

agricultural prospects for farmers under Trump looking brighter

https://www.cnbc.com/2019/05/08/voracious-pest-threatens-chinas-crops-could-boost-need-for-imports.html

This is from May 8, 2019, but it only recently grabbed public attention; I'm surprised RCW missed this.

Voracious pest threatens China’s crops and could boost need for imports

A crop-eating pest first detected in China about five months ago is spreading rapidly and could hurt production of key crops critical to the populous nation’s food supply, according to the U.S. Department of Agriculture.

Damage from the so-called fall armyworm, which gorges on corn, soybeans, cotton, rice, and dozens of other crops, could force China to import more corn, rice or soy to makeup for the shortfall. China is already dealing with a livestock crisis involving pork, one of its primary protein sources, putting Beijing is under greater pressure to respond to the armyworm.

The problem comes at a time when Chinese authorities have been trying to boost soybean production to reduce the need for imports. China now ranks as the world’s largest importer of soybeans. China produces about 16 million tons of soybeans annually, but it imports more than 80 million tons each year of the commodity used commonly for animal feed and oils.

The insect is now found in at least six provinces in China and the risk of it spreading is seen as high.....

4 replies, 187 views

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Reply agricultural prospects for farmers under Trump looking brighter (Original post)
imwithfred Jul 2019 OP
rampartb Jul 2019 #1
imwithfred Jul 2019 #2
imwithfred Jul 2019 #3
nolidad Jul 2019 #4

Response to imwithfred (Original post)

Mon Jul 22, 2019, 05:30 AM

1. it is a noctuid moth, common here in the south

and found everywhere east of the rocky mountains. we probably sent them over with a shipment of spy beans and, with no natural predators they will thrive.

spray the effected fields with BT powder and call me in the morning.

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Response to rampartb (Reply #1)

Mon Jul 22, 2019, 05:38 AM

2. Sorry to disappoint sir, but I think it's more than just that.

From the article:

…..China isn’t the only country dealing with the armyworm. Knutsen, the entomologist, noted that voracious insect already is in other parts of the world, including North America and Africa.

If Africa is any indication, the armyworm could become costly for China. The USDA said that since 2016 the pest “has caused extensive economic damage across Africa.” In the U.S. and Mexico, meantime, the pest has been controlled mainly with chemical pesticides, although the bugs in some regions have developed a resistance to many insecticides. Also, the destructive insect is controlled in corn and cotton in the U.S. to some degree with genetically modified crops.

“Officially, Chinese authorities have employed an emergency action plan to monitor and respond to the pest,” USDA said in a recent report. It said the armyworm “has no natural predators in China and its presence may result in lower production and crop quality of corn, rice, wheat, sorghum, sugarcane, cotton, soybean, and peanuts among other cash crops.”.....

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Response to imwithfred (Reply #2)

Mon Jul 22, 2019, 05:40 AM

3. And and and.....the Chinese have these additional problems

China is already dealing with a livestock crisis involving pork, one of its primary protein sources, putting Beijing is under greater pressure to respond to the armyworm. China has seen at least 129 cases of the African swine fever since August. Rabobank estimates up to 200 million animals could be affected and production could decline by 30%.

As a result of the swine fever, China may need to increase the production of other proteins, including chicken. Also, the Asian country may be forced to boost imports of pork, including from the U.S. despite stiff retaliatory tariffs imposed by Beijing...…

Too bad for the Trump haters.

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Response to imwithfred (Reply #3)

Mon Jul 22, 2019, 09:14 AM

4. America has its own agricultural problems

Do to entering into a grand solar minimum, our three major crops are suffering.

Soy,Corn and wheat are seeing large acreages not planted or in poor condition this year due to the massive flooding in the spring.

Right now they are anticipating harvesting only 70% of what they harvested last year!

That means 6 billion bushels less of corn!

Already major retailers like Walmart, Target, Krogers and Myers have empty shelves for some canned vegetables and posting signs it will be a month!

Pork has gone up 30%

Beef may see a drop in late Sept early Oct. as ranchers cull their herds- then beef will skyrocket as well!

Hay prices in some areas have gone up 1000% as farmers could not plant the hay and alfalfa crops in spring due to the flooding.

A bale of hay in the farm area has gone from $5 to up to $65 a bale.

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Moneymoney